s201359

Election surprises tend to erode trust in government

When asked who is going to win an election, people tend to predict their own candidate will come out on top. When that doesn’t happen, according to a new study from the University of Georgia, these “surprised losers” often have less trust in government and democracy.

And the news media may be partly to blame, according to Barry Hollander, author of the study and UGA professor in the Grady College of Journalism and Mass Communication.

“You need the trust of those in a democracy for democracy to be successful,” said Hollander. “We have become more fragmented in our media diet and that leads to hearing what we want to hear and believing what we want to believe despite all evidence to the contrary, such as polls. Our surprise in the election outcome makes us angry, disappointed and erodes our trust in the basic concept of democracy-the election. And that can threaten our trust in government.”

Based on the theory of wishful thinking-the idea that people tend to predict their own favorite sports team or candidate will win-Hollander analyzed 5,914 survey responses conducted by the American National Election Study before and after the 2012 presidential election. He examined people’s pre-election predictions, their news media consumption habits, and ultimately their trust in government and democracy. The results were published in the Journalism and Mass Communication Quarterly on July 24.

He found that “surprised losers,” those who predicted their candidate would win but who eventually lost, are more skeptical of government, democracy and the election process than are expected losers, or those who favored the same candidate but expected to lose. Despite all evidence to the contrary, 78 percent of Mitt Romney supporters during the 2012 election believed he would win. Nearly all polls showed President Barack Obama leading throughout the campaign.

“When predicting an election outcome, people sample themselves, friends, family and Facebook friends,” Hollander said. “You draw a sample of those people like yourself, and we are drawing a very biased sample. In this way our own preferences have enormous weight.”

In addition to sampling people much like themselves, the media that people draw from can influence their perception. Previous research from Hollander studied the effect of news consumption on political knowledge.

“In theory, greater news consumption should lead to greater political knowledge,” he said. “Therefore, you should become aware of who is winning or losing, and this should reduce wishful thinking. That worked for those who read newspapers, but not for other news media. Also, the stronger you care about the outcome, or feel about a candidate, the more likely you are to think that candidate is going to win, regardless of the polls.”

Among Romney supporters, watching Fox News Channel had a unique effect. Controlling for factors such as age, education, race, gender, party identification and exposure to other news, in the current study those who watched Fox News Channel were even

… Continue reading here.
Diet And Weight Loss News — Sciencedaily
— Courtesy “Science News Daily” (ScienceNewsDaily.com)

Build a big back training at home or the gym with this program http://athleanx.com/x/get-a-ripped-strong-back Training your lats is definitely the way to get…
Video Rating: 4 / 5

TYR Guard Durafast Ringback Workout Bikini Swimsuit – Women’s Size XXS Color Red


The TYR Guard Durafast Ringback Workout Bikini Swimsuit for women utilizes a thin strap design, for minimal strap constriction and maximized support. Engineered for lifeguards, the women’s bikini lasts 20 times longer than traditional swimwear and is 100% chlorine proof for 72 hours of exposure. Showcasing TYR Durafast construction, the Guard Workout Bikini never fades, providing 100% colorfastness and maximum sun resistance for performance outdoors. Built-in 4-Way Stretch Technology never loses its stretch while an oversized Guard Logo provides increased visibility to separate you from the crowd and authenticate your role. Perfect for the pool or beach; safety’s first, but style and performance matters. TYR Fabrication : 53% Polyester / 47% Polyester PBT (Lined Navy) Size XXS Color Red
List Price: $ 73.99
Price: $ 51.79

Tags: , , , , , ,
Previous Post
rp_7798556096_75cc0bc890_n.jpg
Health & Fitness Supplements

Healthy Skin Needs The Nutrition Of Vitamins And Minerals

Next Post
2014/07/cd913_fitness_41n10kXhsHL._SL160_
Healthy Lifestyle

Strategy proposed for preventing diseases of aging

Leave a Reply